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IMF Downgrades Bangladesh’s Growth Forecast to 5.7% for FY 2023-24

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has once again lowered its growth forecast for Bangladesh’s economy to 5.7 percent for the current fiscal year of 2023-24. This revision was outlined in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook released on Tuesday, April 16.

The IMF’s revised projection highlights various global and local challenges, including persistent high inflation, unemployment, reduced remittance inflow, and a decline in industrial investment targets.

This marks the second time the IMF has reduced its economic growth forecast for Bangladesh. In October of last year, it initially projected a 6 percent growth rate, down from its previous prediction of 6.5 percent for the FY2023-24 period.

The IMF’s growth forecast follows a recent announcement by the Asian Development Bank (ADB), which stated that Bangladesh’s GDP is expected to expand by 6.1 percent in FY 2023-24, driven by export growth.

Earlier this month, the World Bank also weighed in, stating that Bangladesh’s growth will be subdued due to reduced private consumption affected by high inflation. It forecasted a GDP expansion of 5.6 percent in FY 2023-24, below the average annual growth rate of 6.6 percent recorded over the decade preceding the Covid-19 pandemic.

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