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Asian Markets Slide Amid Concerns Over Prolonged High Interest Rates

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Asian markets experienced a decline on Tuesday, driven by concerns about interest rates following hawkish remarks made by a senior Federal Reserve official, signaling that the central bank was likely to maintain higher rates for an extended period.

Despite a significant drop in the past year, inflation in the United States continues to remain stubbornly above the Federal Reserve’s long-term target of two percent. This has led the majority of Fed officials to predict the necessity of another rate hike later this year.

Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision, Michael Barr, conveyed his expectation at a conference in New York on Monday that interest rates would need to be kept at a “sufficiently restrictive level” for an extended period to control inflation. Barr’s comments align with the views of most of his colleagues, who recently lowered their expectations for the number of rate cuts in 2024, indicating an extended period of elevated rates.

Since March 2022, the Fed has increased its key lending rate 11 times, reaching a 22-year high. With inflation persistently exceeding its target, there is a consensus that “the Fed is gonna keep rates high and we are expecting higher rates for longer,” as noted by Xi Qiao, Managing Director for Wealth Management at UBS, in an interview with Bloomberg Television. However, this could potentially bring caution to the equity markets.

On Wall Street, trading ended with mixed results after a congressional deal was reached to avert an immediate US government shutdown. However, bond markets experienced a significant sell-off.

Stephen Innes from SPI Asset Management commented on the situation, stating, “Any ‘relief rally’ from the US government spending deal appears to have been short-lived as bond markets witnessed a deepening selloff, leading to rising yields across the curve.”

The yields on US Treasury bonds, especially the 10-year and 30-year bonds, remained notably high, reaching levels not seen in years. These Treasury bond yields are closely monitored as indicators of US interest rates.

Innes explained, “This yield surge reflects the market’s response to messaging from the Federal Reserve, indicating the central bank’s commitment to keeping borrowing costs elevated to combat inflation.”

Hong Kong led the decline in Asian equities on Tuesday, falling by nearly three percent as the market resumed trading following a holiday weekend. In contrast, the heavily indebted Chinese property giant, Evergrande, witnessed a stock price increase as it resumed trading in Hong Kong, days after its CEO was announced to be under criminal investigation.

Other Asian markets, including Tokyo, Sydney, Wellington, Singapore, Manila, and Bangkok, also saw declines, while Taipei and Jakarta remained relatively flat. Kuala Lumpur was the only market to register gains.

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Bullish Market Skyrockets

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Dhaka Stock Market DSE, Bourse on the last working day of the week, 25th July, ended with a hike in Indices and Turnover from the previous working session. This information is known from DSE sources.

497 crore 34 lakh taka shares were traded on this day. 337 crore 97 lakh more tradings were done in DSE today compared to the previous workday, July 24th, Shares worth Tk 159 crores 37 lakh shares were traded last time, Wednesday.

The benchmark DSEX increased 62.81 points or 5,413 The Shariah-based index DSES added 13.81 points or 1,183 and the blue-chip index DS30 gained by 24.25 points or 1,932.

Of the issues traded, 286 advanced, 66 declined and 40 remained unchanged.

Techno Drugs Limited ranked top gainer on DSE, the share price increased by Tk 3.80 paisa or 9.87 percent. On this day, the share was last traded at Tk 42.30 paisa.

Rangpur Foundry Limited ranked top loser on the DSE, the share price dropped by Tk 5.40 paisa or 2.98 percent. On this day, the share was last traded at Tk 175.70 paisa.

DSE topped on trade is Square Pharmaceuticals PLC 35 crore 9 lakh takas of company shares have been traded.

A total of 28 companies’ shares were traded in the Block on Dhaka Stock Exchange. A total of 82 lakh 94 thousand 29 shares of the companies were traded. The financial value of which is 21 crore 92 lakh taka

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Eastland Insurance releases Q2 Financials

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One of the listed companies, Eastland Insurance Company Limited discloses its financial reports for the second quarter, (April – June 24).

The company’s earnings per share (EPS) Tk 0.27 paisa in Q2 of the current financial year (April – June 24). EPS was Tk. 0.41 for January-June 2024 as against Tk. 1.47 for the same period last year. EPS  was Tk 0.80 paisa during the same period last year. NAV per share was Tk. 20.85  as of June 30, 2024.

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Shahjalal Islami Bank reveals unchanged Q2 Financials

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One of the listed companies, Shahjalal Islami Bank PLC discloses its financial reports for the second quarter, (April – June 24).

The company’s Consolidated earnings per share (EPS) Tk 1.50 paisa in Q2 of the current financial year (April – June 24). Consolidated EPS was Tk. 1.50 for January-June 2024 as against Tk. 1.47 for the same period last year. EPS  was Tk 0.80 paisa during the same period last year. Consolidated NAV per share was Tk. 20.85 as of June 30, 2024.

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