Economy
BD won’t fall into Chinese Debt Trap: AK Abdul Momen
Bangladesh strongly ruled out the possibility of falling into any Chinese debt trap as the return on its investments is much higher than the cost of the funds, said Foreign Minister AK Abdul Momen at Bangladesh Business Summit 2023.
Foreign Minister said there is a wrong perception among many people that Bangladesh would slip into a Chinese debt trap.
“No way… no way,” Momen said.
He made the comments in reply to questions from Richard Quest, CNN’s Business editor-at-large, at the Bangladesh Business Summit.
The 3-day summit, organized by the Federation of Bangladesh Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FBCCI), partaken at the Bangabandhu International Conference Centre in Dhaka to showcase the country’s progress and potential to both global and local investors.
The debt-trap question has surfaced as Bangladesh has borrowed heavily from many countries, including China in recent years to pull off its growth targets. The bankruptcy of Sri Lanka, whose largest lenders include China, in 2022 has cemented the worries.
But Foreign Minister said Bangladesh has received many loans from international agencies with Japan being the largest bilateral lender.
“We are taking loans from all sources on a very prudent basis and in a calculative way.”
Of the $72.3 billion foreign loan, the World Bank accounts for $18.2 billion, followed by the Asian Development Bank ($13.3 billion), Japan ($9.2 billion), Russia ($5.1 billion), China ($4.8 billion) and India ($1.02 billion).
Whatever investments have been made with the debts, the return on the investments is higher than the cost of the funds, Momen said.
Bangladesh has a low risk of external and overall debt distress despite higher external borrowing in recent terms, said the International Monetary Fund in February.
Commerce Minister Tipu Munshi said it was true that the war has inflicted sufferings on the country.
“Yes, I can understand that people are suffering for the high price, but the government is trying to sort it out.”
However, Bangladesh is doing well despite some challenging situations, he said. “For instance, export incomes have increased amid the global economic turmoil.”
The commerce minister admitted that the worry remains due to the lingering war.
He is optimistic about continuing the development journey as the country is benefiting from demographic dividends and the business climate is conducive.
The commerce minister spoke about the government’s investments in the education sector.
“We have to go for various types of investments in the sector, particularly for work-related education such as vocational training and technical education. This will help our economy.”
Quest questioned whether the upcoming election would be free and fair.
Responding, the foreign minister said the government has organized thousands of elections over the last 14 years.
“All institutions have been developed for a free, fair, transparent and credible election.”
“We have put in place transparent ballot boxes and we have an independent election commission with full authority. Therefore, we believe the upcoming election would be free, fair and credible.”
The government established a level-playing field, he said, urging all parties to participate in the elections.
When Quest pointed to people’s perception of whether the government has turned into authoritarian and anti-democratic, the foreign minister said there are both right and wrong perceptions.
“Unfortunately, in our society, people falsify many things. But in the long run, people behave very smartly and when they vote, they vote for us. Every class of the population is very happy with the performance of the present government,” he claimed.
In a separate session, Prime Minister’s Private Industry and Investment Adviser Salman F Rahman, said “We want a real export-based Bangladesh from where software, as well as hardware, will be exported. Already a number of companies are producing hardware.”
In order to support the fast-growing economy, the government is building a deep-sea port in Matarbari. It will go into operation in 2026.
Everybody is surprised that Bangladesh has made tremendous progress despite not having a deep seaport, Rahman said. “We are increasing the capacity of Chattogram port, Mongla port and Payra port.”
“It will be a real game-changer for us when the deep seaport becomes operational.”
Speaking about the sources of finances, the adviser said Japan is bankrolling the Matarbari port project.
“We are talking to companies in Singapore, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE for the management of the port.”
The government is going to hand over the Chattogram port to private operators for its management.
“In fact, today we are going to sign an MoU with Saudi Arabia,” Rahman said.
He ruled out the chance of Bangladesh facing a Sri Lanka-like situation.
The Island nation plunged into a serious crisis last year after its foreign currency reserves dried up.
Owing to escalated commodity prices, Bangladesh’s reserves have slipped to a six-year low of $31.15 billion, meaning it has fallen by about 30 percent from the $44.14 billion recorded in March last year.
“We are not going to hand over the ownership of the ports. So, there is no worry that our economy will face a situation that the Sri Lankan economy had faced,” said Rahman.
The British journalist wondered how Bangladesh would transform itself into a digital nation when he had to spend two hours traveling a distance of two kilometers.
“We are in a growing stage. Our infrastructure development is taking place. The metro rail is already operational and the elevated expressway is going to be operational. If you come back after five years, you will just need 20 minutes instead of two hours,” Rahman answered.
During her presentation, Tini Sevak, vice president for audiences and data at CNN International, said a green supply chain would have a greater effect on companies in the coming days.
Bangladesh has already begun its journey to modernize its workplaces following a number of disasters a decade ago. Today, the country has the highest number of green garment factories in the world.
“Technology will be a key factor too for the future growth of companies,” Sevak said.
The summit also aims to draw foreign direct investment (FDI).
FDI to Bangladesh rose 13 per cent year-on-year to $2.89 billion last year. But the inflow has been far lower than the expected level given the country’s business volume and potential of the economy.
In recent times, globally FDI was impacted across many industries due to the supply chain disruptions stemming from the pandemic, the war and major layoffs by technology companies, Sevak added.
Rob Bradley, senior vice-president for ad sales and digital commercial strategy at Warner Bros. Discovery for Asia Pacific and Latin America, Md Jashim Uddin, president of the FBCCI, Xiangchen Zhang, deputy director-general of the World Trade Organisation, and Laurent Olmeta, CEO of CMA CGM Asia Pacific Limited, a logistics company, also spoke.
Referring to the countrywide recent havoc and atrocities, Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina today said that she had an apprehension there might be a strike like this by the BNP-Jamaat clique to pull down the country’s prosperity.
“. . . they (BNP-Jamaat) had wanted not to hold the elections, but we had arranged the elections. After election they thought it wouldn’t be accepted by all, but we’ve also made it acceptable to all and we’ve formed the government. It was an apprehension to me that there would be a strike like this,” she said.
The Premier made this remarks while exchanging views with editors, senior journalists and head of news of various media outlets, organised by Editors’ Guild at her office (PMO).
She mentioned that before and after the election in 2013-14, the BNP-Jmaat clique unleashed arson attacks and killings that left hundreds of people killed and thousands injured.
“It was little bit understandable that this (the activities and movement of the students) was a grave conspiracy,” she said.
Sheikh Hasina said that she didn’t want any incident which might invite any unwanted situation that will invite instability in the country. “It was the target to destroy country’s economy,” she said.
She questioned about the understanding level of the people who supported these mayhem aiming to cripple the country’s advancement and prosperity.
Sheikh Hasina, also the chief of Awami League, said that vested quarter is highly interested to destroy country’s independence and the continuation of the democracy that is going on for long 15 years.
She again said that she never wanted to deploy army personnel in the field while the students were there for the sake of their security.
“While they (students) declared that they are not involved in the on going subversive activities then we called for army,” she said.
The premiers also said that she also didn’t want to impose curfew as the country is going through a democratic environment for 15 years.
She requested the people to resist those who have done this bane for the country. “They have destroyed all the structures have been built for their welfare and livelihood. They have struck all those structures. Who will be the worst sufferer? Of course, mass people. Now it is the responsibility of the mass people to resist these terrorism and militancy,” she said.
The premier called for creating mass awareness against the militancy that has opened in the destructive activities.”If the people don’t become aware then what could we do or how much we could do alone,” she said.
She also mentioned that the targets of the recent mayhem was Awami League, Freedom Fighters and pro-liberation forces.
The Prime Minister said that when all demands of the quota-free movement students were accepted why they gave scope to the militants for doing such heinous activities.
“One day the quota-free movement activists have to answer to the nation, why they gave such opportunity to them for this destruction to the country,” she said.
PM’s Press Secretary Md Nayeemul Islam Khan moderated the programme, while Editors’ Guild president Mozammel Huq Babu delivered welcome address.
Senior journalist Abed Khan, Bangladesh Pratidin editor Nayeem Nizam, DBC Editor-in-Chief and CEO Monzurul Islam, Bhorer Kagoj Editor and Jatiya Press Club general secretary Shyamol Dutta, Daily Jugantor Editor Saiful Alam, Jatiya Press Club president Farida Yasmin, Dhaka Journal chief editor Syed Istiaque Reza, Head of News Nagorik TV Dip Azad, Amader Somoy Editor Mainul Alam, Bangladesh Journal editor Shajahan Sarder, DBC news editor Zayedul Ahsan Pintu, Ashish Saikat of Independent TV, Bangla Tribune editor Zulfiquer Russell, head of News of 71 TV Shakil Ahmed, Energy and Power Editor Mollah Amzad, Head of News of Kings News Nazmul Huq Saikat and Mamunur Rahman Khan of RTV also spoke.
Britain’s inflation rate held steady in June after returning to the Bank of England’s target the previous month, official data showed Wednesday, confounding expectations for another modest slowdown.
The Consumer Prices Index was unchanged at 2.0 percent in June from the same level in May, the Office for National Statistics said in a statement, compared with market forecasts of 1.9 percent.
“Hotel prices rose strongly, while second-hand car costs fell but by less than this time last year,” said ONS chief executive Grant Fitzner.
“However, these were offset by falling clothing prices, with widespread sales driving down their cost.
“Meanwhile, the cost of both raw materials and goods leaving factories fell on the month, though factory gate prices remain above where they were a year ago.”
Analysts said the data could cause the Bank of England to sit tight for a while longer before starting to cut interest rates.
“The chances of an interest rate cut in August have diminished a bit more,” said Paul Dales, chief UK economist at research consultancy Capital Economics.
Last month, the BoE kept its key interest rate at a 16-year high of 5.25 percent, despite slowing inflation in May.
Britain’s newly elected Labour government welcomed news that inflation remained at the BoE’s target level.
“It is welcome that inflation is at target,” said Darren Jones, Chief Secretary to the Treasury, in a statement.
“But we know that for families across Britain prices remain high… (which) is why this government is taking the tough decisions now to fix the foundations” of the UK economy, he said.
Labour, led by new Prime Minister Keir Starmer, has pledged immediate action to grow the economy after the centre-left party won a landslide general election victory to end 14 years of Conservative rule.
Later on Wednesday, King Charles III will read out Labour’s first programme for government in a decade and a half, when the UK parliament formally reopens following the July 4 election.
Elevated interest rates have worsened a UK cost-of-living squeeze because they increase borrowing repayments, thereby cutting disposable incomes and crimping economic activity.
The BoE began a series of rate hikes in late 2021 to combat inflation, which rose after countries emerged from Covid lockdowns and accelerated after the invasion of Ukraine by key oil and gas producer Russia.
China’s economy grew 4.7 percent year-on-year in the second quarter of 2024, official data showed Monday, less than analysts had expected.
“By quarter, the GDP for the first quarter increased by 5.3 percent year on year and for the second quarter 4.7 percent,” Beijing’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said in a statement.
The figures were much lower than the 5.1 percent predicted by analysts polled by Bloomberg.
Retail sales — a key gauge of consumption — also slowed to just two percent in June, the NBS said, down from 3.7 percent in May.
The world’s second-largest economy is grappling with a real estate debt crisis, weakening consumption, an ageing population and trade tensions with Western rivals.
Top officials are meeting in Beijing on Monday for a key plenum, with all eyes on how they might kickstart lacklustre growth.
