Economy
IMF to discuss $4.5bn loan in Dhaka next week
In the backdrop of higher inflation, dropping export receipts and consistent import bills, Bangladesh is set to resume an official dialog with the International Monetary Fund in late October for a budget-supporting loan worth $4.5 billion.
To attend the crucial meeting, a much-needed event for the government, a team from the IMF coming to Dhaka next week, an official said.
They will discuss the conditionality of credit entitlement at different levels of the government. The prime discussion will be with the Ministry of Finance, Bangladesh Bank and National Board of Revenue, official sources said.
The information over the IMF delegation’s visit surfaced amid the ongoing annual meetings of the World Bank and the IMF in Washington.
Bangladesh’s foreign exchange reserves stood at $38.94 billion at the end of August 2022, down nearly 19pc year-on-year, Bangladesh Bank reports showed.
At the end of August 2021, the country’s foreign exchange reserves reached their peak at over $48 billion due to fewer imports by businesses amid the pandemic coronavirus lockdown.
Sources in the finance division said the IMF will assess the risks and problems of the entire economy of the country before approving the loan. It will also take stock of the stings put forward by it to the government of Bangladesh for execution.
So far, the government has implemented four prime conditions for qualifying for credit. It has cut subsidies in various sectors, increased the prices of fertilizers and ballooned fuel prices to record levels.
The exchange rate of the local currency Taka against the US dollar is increasing as a result of the crisis of the US dollar in the local market.
The government is also keeping a foreign exchange gross account as well as a net account and reporting it regularly to the IMF. By implementing these four key conditions, the government has gone a long way in obtaining the IMF loan. If both sides reach an agreement in the ensuing talk, it may take until December for the first tranche of the loan to enter into the exchequer.
According to finance division sources, the annual general meeting of the World Bank (WB) and the IMF started in the US on October 10. It continued until October 16. A delegation led by the Governor of the Central Bank of Bangladesh, along with the Finance Secretary, is attending the meeting. Furthermore, the delegation is meeting with various organizations from across the countries, on the sidelines.
Sri Lanka’s central bank governor held a meeting with Standard Chartered Bank’s Asia Pacific head and JP Morgan on Thursday. Meanwhile, an informal meeting between the Bangladesh delegation with the IMF has also been held in Washington.
Since Bangladesh has asked for the loan on an urgent basis and some conditions of the loan have already been implemented, a decision to grant the loan may be made soon, according to a source.
Bangladesh’s dollar crisis has become evident due to the increase in import expenditure at an excessive greenback purchasing rate and fall in export receipts and incoming remittances.
The IMF loan was formally requested by the government in a letter to the IMF in July. On July 14, an IMF mission came to Bangladesh and held meetings at various levels of the government. The team left Dhaka on 22nd July.
During the eleventh month of the current fiscal year, the country’s foreign currency reserves have fallen below $19 billion for the first time. After paying off some import bills, the reserves have now stood at $18.26 billion on Sunday.
According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), as of May 8, the total foreign currency reserves of the country were $19.82 billion.
Mohammad Mezbauul Haque, the spokesperson of Bangladesh Bank, informed that through the Asian Clearing Union (ACU), the central bank has paid off import bills totaling $1.63 billion over the past two months.
However, Bangladesh Bank maintains that after paying off the import bills, the foreign currency reserves now stand at $23.71 billion.
According to the Central Bank’s accounts, the reserves were $25.27 billion on May 8.
The Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) and the DSE Brokers Association (DBA) have expressed gratitude towards Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina for her directive to list government companies in the capital market, a move hailed as timely and positive.
The directive was issued during the recent meeting of the Executive Committee of the National Economic Council (Ecnec) last Thursday.
Dr. Hafiz Muhammad Hasan Babu, Chairman of DSE, described the directive as a significant step towards enhancing the dynamics of the capital market. He emphasized that besides invigorating the capital market, this move would also attract foreign investment and promote sustainable development.
Despite previous efforts, government institutions had not been listed in the stock exchange, according to a notification issued by the DSE. The Prime Minister’s directive is seen as a pivotal step towards revitalizing and expanding the economy.
Dr. Babu further remarked, “The listing of reputable companies in the capital market, as directed by the Prime Minister, will greatly benefit the country’s economy. It will also enhance investor confidence.”
Similarly, the DBA released a notification applauding the Prime Minister’s directive, terming it as positive and timely for the capital market.
Saiful Islam, President of DBA, expressed optimism about the directive’s potential to accelerate the country’s capital market and overall economy. He pledged support to relevant government departments and regulatory bodies in implementing the directive, ensuring its positive impact on the economy, including the capital market.
India has expressed interest in financing Bangladesh’s Teesta project, announced Foreign Minister Hasan Mahmud. Speaking to reporters after a meeting with Indian Foreign Secretary Vinay Mohan Kwatra, Mahmud stressed the importance of aligning the project with Bangladesh’s needs. He confirmed discussions on the Teesta issue during the meeting. Mahmud also affirmed Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina’s upcoming visit to New Delhi, indicating that the finalization of the date would depend on the formation of the new Indian government following ongoing elections.
Meanwhile, the IMF has approved a $1.15 billion staff-level loan for Bangladesh in its third tranche. Mahmud noted the ongoing elections in India and the subsequent formation of the new government as factors influencing the scheduling of PM Hasina’s visit.
When asked about the sequence of visits to India and China, Mahmud suggested Delhi’s geographical proximity to Bangladesh. Diplomatic sources suggest PM Hasina’s visit to India is planned for early July, following India’s elections.
Pre-election surveys indicate strong prospects for Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s re-election. Modi previously congratulated PM Hasina on her electoral victory in January, expressing optimism about strengthening ties between the two nations.
The last bilateral engagement between the prime ministers occurred during the G-20 Leaders Summit in September 2023. Modi is expected to invite South Asian and BIMSTEC leaders to his swearing-in ceremony, fostering regional cooperation.
Addressing border killings, Mahmud emphasized the government’s commitment to ending such incidents and promoting the use of non-lethal weapons by border forces. Discussions also covered enhancing physical and people-to-people connectivity, including cooperation with India to import hydropower from Nepal and Bhutan through India. Mahmud highlighted the need to further ease visa restrictions to strengthen people-to-people relations.
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